Is this luck or a glitch?

In Black 2, I was catching some Munna to get all abilities with Synchronize ability. I was using my Smeargle to lower them HP, using Spore + Super Fang and using Ultra Balls.The fun fact its all Munna I caught (Ultra Balls) in that time resulted all in a Critical-Capture (16 Munna)!I have more than 600 different Pokemon caught meaning the chance of a critical-capture is 2.5%.

Is this just luck or only because I’m always using a Smeargle with Spore + Super Fang and using an Ultra Ball?If this is luck, can you tell me what is the chance of making 16 Critical-Captures (2.5%) in a row?

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

The chance is not 2.5%, but instead is a multiplier to the catch rate,a.Here is the formula:

ais the overall catch rate.HPmaxis the maximum health of the Pokemon. In this case, let’s say you caught Level 50 Munna. With 0 EVs and 0-31 IVs, this ranges from 136 to 151.5.HPcurrentis the current health of the Pokemon. Since you use Super Fang, this will be 1/2 of HPmax.rateis the catch rate of the Pokemon. Munna’s is 190.BONUSballis the Poke Ball’s multiplier. The Ultra Ball’s is 2.BONUSstatusis the current status of the Pokemon. Since it is asleep, this value is 2.5.

Plugging this all in, we get a equal 633.3333…

Since you got the captures 16 times in a row, your formula would be (0.7735)^16, resulting in a…

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