What are the odds of this much evasion?

Alright so I was EV training my Absol in horde battles against some Wingull and Taillow. In the battle I just finished, this one Wingull evaded a Rock Slide and two Play Rough attacks. There were no accuracy or evasion modifications, and I wasn’t confused. My Absol was holding the Macho Brace. What are the odds of this happening? I did this calculation, but I don’t know if it’s right.95+90+90=27300-275=25(25÷300)×100=8.333333% to evade all three moves in a row

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

Time to do math! :D

Rock Slidehas 90% accuracy, meaning it has a10%chance to evade.Play Roughalso has a 90% accuracy, meaning it also has a10%chance to evade.Let’s run this through now. Let 10% be a .1 chance, and you have:

This is due to probability. Say you use/dice 10on PS!, which picks a random number between one and ten. With each time you use the command, the chance of picking the same number decreases. Let’s let 10 be the instance where the moves miss, and 1-9 be where it hits.

/dice 10:1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910(10% chance)/dice 10:1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910(10% x 10% chance)/dice 10:1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910(10% x 10% x 10% chance)/dice 10:1 2 3 4 567 8 9 10(It hits (picking a different number) so the consecutive chance resets to 10%)

That wingull was just lucky I suppose :PHope I helped!