What is the chance of a Pokemon restoring it's condition with full affection?

It’s known that if you have full affection (five hearts) with any Pokemon in Pokemon Amie, that they can heal their own sleep, frozen, burn, paralysis or poison status condition, and also it can trigger a Sturdy ability-type of move where it survives a brutal attack with one HP, but what is the chance of this being triggered in said events?

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

Just kidding, let’s get serious.

I tested this, only took me half an hour.

I tested this 50 times using a Flame Orb, not including the first turn when the Pokémon is inflicted with a burn. Out of those 50, 15 times the Pokémon healed itself and 35 times the Pokémon didn’t. So contrary to popular belief, there is probably a lower chance of it healing than not.

Because I did it 50 times, I will times both numbers by two, to get it out of 100:

This is also backed up by the fact that this is the same chance of reeling a Pokémon in with a rod.

If you want me do it 100 times, that’s fine, but I’m sure this is close.

Edit: I did it another 50 times; the Pokémon healed itself 11 times and did not 39 times. So if we add this to the original numbers:

11 + 15 = 2639 + 35 = 74

So the chances are 26% of healing and 74% or not, so the actual chance is probably in between 25-30% for curing the condition.