What is the chance of Pokemon A hitting Pokemon B in this scenario?

Pokemon B lowers Pokemon A’s accuracy to minimum, then paralyzes and confuses. And then maxes out it’s evasion. What is the chance of Pokemon A hitting Pokemon B with a move with 80% accuracy?I’d also like to know what the chance is of Pokemon A hitting Pokemon BwithoutPokemon B having any raised evasion.

Thanks in advance :D

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

Pokemon B lowers Pokemon A’s accuracy to minimum, then paralyzes and confuses. And then maxes out it’s evasion. What is the chance of Pokemon A hitting Pokemon B with a move with 80% accuracy?

So lets calculate the accuracy of the moveSo using someinformation, the calculation becomes;P = 0.8 x [(3/9)/3]

For arguments sake, let this = 0,09 rounded up,.: P = 0.09

Now lets get onto the status conditionsSo 25% chance that Paralysis will stop the opponent’s move50% chance that Confusion makes them hit themselves.: That’s a total of 62.5% chance that they won’t be hitting you! (25% for Confusion, then multiply the rest (100% - 25% = 75%) by half (50% is half of 100%), which is 37.5%. Add that to 25% = 62.5%).: That’s a measly 37.5% chance that they will hit you only factoring in the paralysis and confusion.

Lets put them together!Okay so now comes the harddd bit. How do we put P and the chance together D:?I’m not actually aware of exactly how, despite looking around, so I’m just going to use what seems most logical - probability>If P is greater than 1, the move will surely hit

So lets say 0.09/1 chance that the move will hit.= 9/100 chance= 9% chance

So 91% chance that they won’t be able to hit you with the move62.5% chance that their move will be stopped or they’ll hit themselvesSo using the same theory as the calculation for Paralysis + Confusion;That leaves a grant total of…

#96.625% chance that they won’t hit you#3.3755% chance they’ll hit you!Woah that’s low!

I’d also like to know what the chance is of Pokemon A hitting Pokemon B without Pokemon B having any raised evasion.

I’m assuming you still want Pokemon A to be at lowest accuracy possible.We just cancel out the Evasion bit on the original P equation.: P = 0.8 x (3/9)

So putting that into probability, 0.27/1 chance= 27/100 chance= 27% of hitting :>

Then we put that with the 62.5% chance of not hitting from the status conditions again!So 27% chance they’ll be hitting you from moveUse all the stuff we did earlier. We get to a new grand total of;#89.875% chance they won’t hit you!#10.125% chance they’ll hit you!

Sorry it took so long, especially second part. I threw my calculator somewhere, did everything by hand, and then I double checked everything because I mixed myself up on the second bit.